Discussion:7-11 Coffee Cup Poll Update
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Discussion Forum Index --> General Chat --> 7-11 Coffee Cup Poll Update
25 October 2012 | |
Most accurate national poll.
http://ncronline.org/blogs/ncr-today/two-polls-you-might-not-yet-have-seen |
26 October 2012 | |
Sounds about right though I think the vote will be a bit closer than that. Best guess is that Obama will win re-election, at least according to intrade. www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84326
What would be sweet (but very bad for the country) would be for Obama to win the Electoral College but lose the popular vote. All those foam at the mouth Tea Partiers would be furious but sentenced to silence since that's how GWB won over Al Gore in 2000. Or better, it might unite the country behind an effort to eliminate the College altogether. |
28 October 2012 | |
I doubt the country unite to get rid of the Electoral College. The low population states have a distinct advantage:
Each state has a number of electors equal to its total Congressional representation (in both houses), with the non-state District of Columbia receiving three electors and other non-state territories having no electors. While the House seats are allocated by population, the senate is not. Thus no matter how small a population each state is guaranteed 2 senators. Thus states like MT, WY, SD, ND get 3 electoral votes. One vote for population plus 2 senate seats. The majority of low population states vote Republican, giving them an edge. Doubt they would be willing to loose that long term advantage, especially in tight races. |
2012-10-29 | |
There is absolutely no way the Electoral College will disappear. The population centers are on the East and West coasts. The middle of the country would have absolutely no say in presidential elections if popular vote was the hallmark to getting elected. It would become a beauty contest.
Tom |
Tax Writer (talk|edits) said: | 29 October 2012 |
There is absolutely no way the Electoral College will disappear.
This is a real shame. I wish the electoral college would go away forever, but it's doubtful. I don't see why one vote in Rhode Island should could more than my vote in California. Every vote should have equal weight in every election. That's real democracy. |
29 October 2012 | |
The case for eliminating the US electoral college |
1 November 2012 | |
You mean like the late East Germany? The German Democratic Republic? |
5 November 2012 | |
Somebody did the math [1].
Wyoming gets 1 electoral vote per 140,000 voters. While California and NY only get 1 electoral vote per 500,000 voters. |