Discussion:Huckabee and flat tax

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Discussion Forum Index --> Tax Questions --> Huckabee and flat tax

Ztom (talk|edits) said:

1 December 2007
I wonder if Huckabee ever took into account that a flat tax would put a couple of million people on unemployment, vacate thousands of offices, computers mfg would sell over a million computers less., auto industry would suffer because all us tax preparers would not be buying cars every three years or so, and on the list goes.

Bottom Line (talk|edits) said:

1 December 2007
Much as I like the concept of a flat tax or a fair tax, I doubt it would ever pass. The politicians enjoy dictating social policy through the tax code too much!

Donniecastleman (talk|edits) said:

1 December 2007
Yep, if there was a flat tax it would take away the smoke and mirrors from congress and they'd be scrambling to protect their phony bologna jobs, hey I don't buy a car every three years, still driving a 97 Camry that my wife bought in 1997!

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

1 December 2007
I really like the fair tax. I would happily find something else to do if it were passed, maybe even audit (wait...no...strike that...eeewww...going to shower now). The problem is that no matter what the tax reform is, it will eventually be used as a political bargaining chip and become just as distorted and convoluted as it is now. So...its Saturday night and I raise my glass, here's to job security!

Jdugancpa (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
We had an almost flat tax once with only two tax rates, 15% and 28%. I think it lasted for about 2 years before Congress began tweaking it until it was no longer flat. The same would be true again if a flat tax ever came to be. But a flat tax would not put tax preparers out of business because there would still be squabbles about inclusion/exclusion and deductions, etc. A national sales tax would be much more likely to do that. But on a philosophical level, I believe a national sales tax would be far preferable to a flat income tax, because a) it would tax consumption, not income production and b) it would negate the need for the annual invasion of privacy called Form 1040.

Johnhuddleston (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
It gets more complicated everytime they simplify it.

John Huddleston Seattle Bellevue Tax Accountant

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
What I can so clearly remember about the days of 15-28% was this client who made big money getting p.o.ed when the President began pushing for lower rates on capital gains......he knew what was coming....lower rates in one area and they would raised in another, which is what happened. He said "I like 28%....so simple."

Daniel Moynihan, a brilliant man, did not like the idea for a different reason. He gave a dissertation on the hydraulic effect of separate rates on one type of income. If rates are lowered on long term gains, there would be a rush to convert ordinary income into capital gains.......Moynihan had been there in the 70s and early 80s and saw first hand how tax shelters worked.

If anyone wants to have some 'fun', find a 1985-86 tax return and look at the front page.....look at the adjustments to income and see EBE prominently displayed. Or look at Schedule A. People sometimes wonder about the lower rates of audits: put EBE on Sch A where it is diluted.

Problem I have with Sales Tax is I can recall when I worked for a small accountant who did small cash businesses.....sales tax preparation was a game with people who reported what they wanted to report.

CrowJD (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
The flat tax requires preferences and most deductions to disappear, right? The idea being to lower overall rates, and more or less equalize treatment of OI and capital gains? A lot of oxes to be gored. On the sales tax, I've often wondered what the states would do, I imagine they'd raise the roof.

That hydraulic effect is going on today, as Moynihan predicted. I'd also like to see more discussion on here of tax free fringes. For instance, maybe we are not recommending the C. Corp. enough?? I've never sat down and really analysed it, but it seems that if you managaged it closely regarding salary, you could come out ahead... speaking as under today's system. P.S. Hope JR1 is not around to have a heart attack, lol.

Dennis (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
Sure we do. David talks about his C all the time. I think about it and never bother. It's great for tax professionals who want to bother with the micromanagement. As far as flat/fair is concerned, if they were even vaguely serious you would hear something on the order of a value added tax which has a proven model as a template.

CrowJD (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
Heh. Yes, the VAT does seem to be the choice of just about every country that has faced the "tax gap". I don't know anything about it, really. I do wonder why the IRS continues to crow about the tax gap, however, unless they are mandated to study the issue. Their findings will fuel the fire of change (of course, the fact that the 1998 reform law unintentionally contributed to this whole mess will go unmentioned). The national sales tax I think is really weak, both for the reason that D&T gave, and also, if it's 23% for federal, heck my state/local is like 7%! How are the states going to fit in?

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
Then again, in NJ I pay workmen's compensation on myself, unemployment on myself without hope of collecting and a few other disadvantages. I do talk too much about it....you got that correctly, Dennis, but then JR thinks we C people are nuts.

Dennis (talk|edits) said:

2 December 2007
Not being critical, David. I think it's a great idea if you're in the mood to put the work into it. Comp does cover you for an auto accident (not to mention one of my lawyers who successfully claimed a back injury lifting his briefcase) and I've seen unemployment claims in the year of corporate dissolution.

CrowJD (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
My understanding is that some owners have collected for heart attacks (probably quite legitimately). I guess that's one of the reasons the rates keep going up.

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
My first boss had one collect when the State of PA took his property by right of eminent domain.

My problem now is in the year of dissolution, I would rather collect Social Security.

Irsfixer (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
The flat tax is like "comprehensive immigration reform". It sounds great in speeches, but it has no realistic chance of passage because every interest group is against a significant part of it.

Dplemmo (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
If there is a "fair tax," there will be plenty of work. Still have to confirm income for the prebate, unless they want to take everyone's word on it. A whole new bureacracy to issue prebate checks. Federal Goverment auditors to audit sales tax returns.

CrowJD (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
"Most economists agree that the goal for tax legislators should be to broaden the tax base gradually by eliminating preferences...a broad tax base means marginal tax rates can be kept low so that taxes affect economic decision making as little as possible." Barber Conable, (R) Former House of Representatives Member, and tax authority. This includes exclusions from income, not just deductions. Rates could really come down. So, the first question would be, what are you going to tax? How is income defined? When the government gives a tax break, that is an expenditure, it's a government program, whether we see it that way or not.

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
Or to quote the late Senator Russell Long:

"Tax reform means, 'Don't tax you, don't tax me. Tax that fellow behind the tree."

CrowJD (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
No, under Conable's idea, there would be no trees the hide behind! I know, I know, try explaining to the public that a tax break is a government expenditure. Or, I should say an exclusion or deduction is a government expenditure.

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
The reason I really like the fair tax is that it brings the "underground" cash economy into the tax base. There are too many people that reap the benefits of a system to which they do not contribute. When i was in school, I wrote a paper and gave a presentation on the final report issued by the Presidents (Bush) Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform. Issued in November 2005, the report is pretty long but full of really great information, as well two very interesting recommendations. Funny thing is, it had about as much impact as a fart in a tornado. If you haven't read it, check it out here...[1]

GeoEA1065 (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
I cannot see how a "flat tax" or any other scheme to redistribute the tax burden is going to bring anything extra into the tax base, much less the "underground economy". What incentive does someone who is being paid under the table have to declare his income just because Bill Gates gets a tax break? And for a VAT replacement....how many goods and services are going to go undeclared to bypass the VAT? It should get a thriving underground economy going. How many TV are goint to be bought in Canada, or purchased online from overseas? What works in Bulgaria isn't necessarily going to work here.

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
The "Fair" Tax, which I referred to, is a tax on consumption, not income. If you purchase a new product, you pay tax, whether you earned your money in a doctor's office or on the corner selling drugs.

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
As I said above, a consumption tax simply shifts the tax evasion to those collecting the tax for remission. If I am buying something from Mr. Merchant I would at least like to know that the State is getting its money.

I met a PA Sales Tax auditor who handled the "Reliable" case in Philly. This was an appliance dealership that stole millions; besices the owners a number of employees went to jail. The depth of this 1990s matter went so far that the auditor recalled they had to collect some of the tax at the very old rate of 5%. Of course, the consumption tax person will say 'well they were caught' but only because an employee blew the whistle.

Irsfixer (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
You hit the nail on the head D&T. I work a lot of trust fund cases and the last thing these folks need is a much larger slush fund to use to keep the doors open. If you think payroll taxes are tempting - imagine the nightmare that 19% of sales would be.

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
D&T, I do not pretend that under a consumption tax system, everything would be daisies. Regardless of our system of taxation, there will always be those that feel they don't need to follow the rules. Respectfully, I don't think the merits of any tax reform measures should be decided based on the group of citizens that evade taxation; they should be decided on whether or not the system proposed can raise a sufficient amount of funds by placing the burden of contributing those funds equally among all that can contribute. I am not sure what the best measure of "equal" is. Should rich people pay more tax? Should poor people pay none? I am not convinced that equality can be implemented by a flat percentage. Giving up one dollar when you only have 5 may sting a bit more than giving up $1,000,000 when you've got $5,000,000, but I wouldn't know as I have only ever been the guy with $5.

Irsfixer (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
The tax system should be regressive to give poor people an incentive to make something of themselves. <g>

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
Current sales tax in most states has the end user pay the tax; there would presumably be a rugged period of adjustment if tax is assessed and paid on every level of production, and while each producer would no longer be paying an income tax, the game will shift to seeing how much of that saving they can keep. I wonder if I should begin to hoarde now?

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
The Fair Tax only taxes at the retail level. Its not a VAT. According to the book by Neal Boortz and Congressman <name escapes me>, as profits raise due to the absence of an income tax, prices will drop as companies try to grab market share. This price drop theoretically would last until profits hit about the same level they were before the tax change. If you have not read the book I mentioned, you (anyone reading this) should. Its very short and will only widen your thinking on the issue of tax reform, whether you agree with it or not.

Dennis (talk|edits) said:

3 December 2007
The disadvantage of retail compared to a VAT is that the numbers on the little guy at the end get humongous in a hurry. Six grand on a car or six hundred is the kind of choice you end up with between the two. And as noted, the retail guy is more likely to have the compliance problem. In either case, there isn't much incentive for the seller to hide anything.

He's the one with liability on audit which rates to be item by item inventory. This is what you bought, what happened to it? The advantage of VAT is the working models. How rugged can the adjustment be when you know exactly how to set up the books and controls?

Ztom (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
It is my opinion that a fair tax or consumption tax would have to be around 15%. I this is the case the

40000 car will have a tax of 6000 not including the sales tax of another 7 to 8 adding another 2800. I think the car industry would suffer dearly. Grocery stores, and gas stations would love it, pay no tax and sell the same.

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
So the person that buys a $40,000 automobile will pay $8800 in tax to both the Fed & state. How much income tax does a person that can afford a $40,000 car pay to the Fed & state each year already? And let's not forget that the person is NOT paying an income tax anymore under a consumption tax system. Also, the taxpayer will probably not be buying that $40,000 car every year. Most people don't pay cash for a purchase like that anyway, the entire cost is normally financed, so I don't think the car industry would miss a beat. If the sales tax were to make goods more expensive (I discussed earlier how it actually does the opposite) it wouldn't really matter because people would have their entire paycheck to spend (no more withholding). Its not as if this system creates money out of thin air or brings in any extra tax revenue. The same amount of money exists and the same amount of tax is collected, its just done differently and from a lot more people.

Dennis (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
And don't forget the monthly check they want to give everyone to reimburse taxes up to the poverty level. ♫ Consumption taxes haven't had any negative history. Germany does reasonably well with an annual wealth tax.

Taxguy1024 (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
"The same amount of money exists and the same amount of tax is collected, its just done differently and from a lot more people"....that's an absolutely true statement....and the bottom line is that every flat tax proposal I've seen shifts a lot more of the tax burden away from the wealthy to the middle class and the poor. We already essentially have a "flat tax system" in the US.....as a "back-up"......and we all know how much we LOVE that one......

CrowJD (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
Well, as I understand it, under the flat tax, all income is on the table. Several exclusions don't even show up on the return, you might call these "way above the line". These are worth more to the wealthy. The rates could come down dramatically for all if we put all income on the table, in this way, the taxpayer decides how his money is spent, instead of the government "steering" money in one direction or another. So essentially all deductions and exclusions would be fair game for elimination (they actaully toyed with this idea in '86), including the venerated mtg. interest deduction. You would have to raise the standard deduction, at least in my opinion. But once passed, could Congress resist playing around with it, not if history is any guide.

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
"could Congress resist playing around with it, not if history is any guide." And that is the problem in a nutshell. The years 1981-1986 was a perfect example of where change comes from:

1981

  • Social Security began to be taxed;
  • Threshholds for taxing unemployment were eliminated; sick pay was eliminated

1986

  • Consumer interest was rubbed out;
  • The 2% Miscellaneous deduction floor went in, and sales tax was wiped out. EBE went from being a deduction for AGI to Sch A, as did moving expense for a number of years.

As I noted in an article in a Philadelphia magazine at the time, the 1986 act was anti-yuppie; spenders lost the most, but spenders were not simply yuppies but those who through necessity consume most of their income, sometimes paying off credit.

We had two rates, 50% went to 28%, but that was not enough for some....but those 'some' were not those gored by the 81 and 86 acts, but the 'haves' who had to have their preferential rates on capital back. The only thing that has surprised me about the years since 1990 is that the real estate lobby has not eliminated passive provisions on rental income.

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
In '81 - '86 I was either still in pull-ups or listening to Thriller and watching "Fraggle Rock." But to the point about "playing around with it," I absoultutely agree.

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
You had to be there, Greg, to believe it. Here is my accounting of it: http://www.writing.com/main/view_item/item_id/312669

My boss then used to say Fanny Foxe did more to change taxes that any congressman because she destroyed the career of Wilbur Mills, a man who whatever you thought of him, had a deep understanding of taxes.

Taxguy1024 (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
You can only blame so much of Rep. Mills' problems on Fanne Foxe......even after the FIRST time the police caught them....when he was driving drunk and she jumped out of his car and into the Tidal Basin...he was STILL re-elected and retained his position as chairman of the Ways and Means Committee. It was only AFTER that......when he was caught with her a SECOND time....on stage.....drunk....in a strip club.....that he stepped down from the committee.

Natalie (talk|edits) said:

December 4, 2007
D&T - wasn't it also 1986 that "average income" went out the door. That hit a lot of college kids. And then there was also the removal of the student loan interest income adjustment. Again, college kids were hit. (What is EBE?)

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

4 December 2007
Employee Business Expense, Natalie. You're correct about income averaging and all interest but the three types we are familiar with now became non-deductible. For the preparer of that time, this was actually a boon: you can imagine your worst clients at providing clarity walking in knowing that they have to pay $225 a month, for have no idea for how long, and aren't sure how much they borrowed etc etc.

I think that is when the casualty loss become 10% of income.....that was another reason preparers cheered. No more 'my car was stolen, it was a 71 Ford Pinto, beautiful, like new.' You would explain that the value of the car was practically zilch and then you would hear, "it was stolen from the lot at Best Buy and had two color TVs, a stereo I'd just bought, and a washing machine in the trunk." All this to apply against the $100 limitation.

Those in the Senate who pushed TRA86 through were a bi-partisan lot: Bill Bradley, Mark Hatfield and others were prime spear carriers. Their idea was to balance out the oxen that were gored, making the bill objectionable in some way to everyone, but lowering rates radically.

It was thought that state & local income tax would also go, but they stayed, only now to be eliminated for many by AMT.

Bottom Line (talk|edits) said:

5 December 2007
My understanding of the Fair tax is that the "hidden" taxes would go away. Anyone look at their phone bill lately and see all the different taxes that are tacked on? How about the Federal tax on gasoline? That would go away too.

Death&Taxes (talk|edits) said:

5 December 2007
And how about the Tooth Fairy and Santa too, BL. Image:smile.jpg

Bottom Line (talk|edits) said:

5 December 2007
You mean Santa's not real?! Then why have I been good all year?

Ztom (talk|edits) said:

5 December 2007
I bet people like Bill Gates would love it. His taxes would go down a little...............whole lot of little like all billionaries.

GregC8579 (talk|edits) said:

5 December 2007
I am not sure how much tax Bill Gates pays. If he pays tax on all $175M of dividends received, his bill would come to approximately $26M, assuming a 15% rate. Under the Fair Tax, he would have to spend about $115M in taxable transactions - the tax is at 23% and is inclusive unlike the income tax which is exclusive - and that seems unrealistic. So, you are probably right, Ztom. But think about this. The IRS estimates the 2001 tax gap from under-reporting and nonfiling to be approximately $312 billion [2]. THIS FIGURE DOES NOT INCLUDE INCOME FROM ILLEGAL ACTIVITIES which fairtax.org has estimated at $1 trillion. Even if its only half of that, there is still $800 billion in un-taxed income out there. At 15% the US is losing $120 billion in tax revenue on that. So Bill should pay more tax (because he is super rich) so the people earning that $800 billion don't have to...the reality is that we are ALL paying more in tax so those people don't have to. If the glove don't fit...you must acquit. By the way, Ztom, what type of tax reform, if any, would you advocate?:)

Zornundo (talk|edits) said:

5 December 2007
That excise tax on gasoline...if it went away and gas is now taxed at retail prices, I do think we'd be paying more.

I have a big problem with that 'prebate' idea. I think it's just as bad as the EIC. Why is it proposed that the poorer people pay no taxes? I have a reallllllly big problem with that. You want tax reform, then take away the EIC! That 'prebate' would be free money for those who hardly spend anything.

And don't forget that retail services are taxed, too. These small self-employed operators are now going to have to report sales? Like the slush fund mentioned above, if these people aren't that honest in reporting their income under the current scheme, why would they report their sales under the fairtax, especially when there's an extra 23% that they can collect for customers. This is so rife for abuse.

Taxalmancer (talk|edits) said:

10 December 2007
I've never understood those who think the flat tax or VAT would bring in money from the underground economy. If you have an unscrupulous business owner who is ducting, say, $10,000 can you imagine the temmptation to steal when he now has that $10,000 plus another 18% VAT! hat 18% will never make it to the government. That business owner goes out and spends money at a restaurant and they duct the money. And on the story goes.

Also, I believe capital expenditures of certain types would be exempt under the Fair Tax. So that system starts out with an "exclusion". Next year another, then another and another. Before you know it we're back to a complicated mess again.

Having said all this the original poster of this thread, Ztom, echoes my fear too. Am I going to wake up one day and be out of a job and out of a career?

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